BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alfred St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 234 Conference: Eastern Collegiate Football Conference Record: (2-3) Overall: (3-6) Overall Strength =   37.64

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/07/2019 Away    L    19.50   7  54    3 155 (  7-  3) UMass-Dartmouth       -18.68    -28.32                      
  2 09/14/2019 Home    L    41.34  20  30    3 201 (  1-  9) Hartwick                3.16    -13.16                      
  3 09/21/2019 Away    W    57.69  27  21    3 217 (  0- 10) Rochester              19.50    -13.50                      
  4 09/28/2019 Away    L    42.55   6  55    3  49 (  9-  3) Brockport St            4.36 *  -53.36                      
  5 10/12/2019 Home    L *  37.12  20  21    3 232 (  2-  8) Anna Maria             -1.07      0.07                      
  6 10/19/2019 Away    L *  13.76  41  62    3 240 (  2-  6) Gallaudet             -24.43      3.43                      
  7 10/26/2019 Home    W *  46.33  21  15    3 224 (  2-  7) Castleton               8.14     -2.14                      
  8 11/02/2019 Away    L *  42.80  46  50    3 220 (  4-  6) Dean                    4.62     -8.62                      
  9 11/09/2019 Home    W *  42.59  21  17    3 221 (  5-  6) SUNY-Maritime           4.40     -0.40                      
      Averages              38.19  23.2 36.1

Best game:   57.69 = 6 point win over Rochester
Worst game:  13.76 = 21 point loss to Gallaudet
Team stdev:  13.52